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Hard SF - "Predicting" the future? 
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Heinlein Nexus
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Mon Nov 02, 2009 7:56 pm
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Post Re: Hard SF - "Predicting" the future?
Rights, but a simple ID number should not be a master key to every record. The defect is in pretending that a name and readily obtainable (and damned near unchangeable) serial number is a secure combination.

I don't know what the answer is, but as most civilized nations have national IDs in fact or in effect, the US should just bite the bullet and make it a truly effective system instead of pretending there's no such thing and letting so many thing slip through the cracks as a result.

Secure systems exist. One is the New York state vital records system. To get a copy of a birth certificate there, you need exact name, mother's name, exact date of birth... and the name of the hospital or facility in which the birth took place. That last one is a real stumper.


Mon Nov 02, 2009 8:52 pm
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I read awhile back that Europe virtually eliminated identify theft by banning private use of Government issued numbers. They said it makes credit harder to process, but did take care of the problem.

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Tue Nov 03, 2009 9:58 am
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Tue Nov 03, 2009 2:09 pm
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Post Re: Hard SF - "Predicting" the future?
I don’t know how much I really know as it was one news article that I read (back to that 4th estate discussion) on the internet. If I remember the article correctly each credit service ends up issuing their own customer numbers and it does make quick decisions near impossible.

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Tue Nov 03, 2009 4:05 pm
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Interestingly, the film 2010, released in 1984, seems to have .

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Mon Jan 11, 2010 11:03 am
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ACC has an astounding record of predictions. I don't know that this one came from him (instead of from the film production crew) but I've almost given up trying to track his many passing, even disposable comments that came true decades later.

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Mon Jan 11, 2010 11:40 am
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And the Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy .


Mon Jan 11, 2010 10:38 pm
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http://www.cnn.com/2010/TECH/01/15/3d.t ... l?hpt=Sbin


Sun Jan 17, 2010 4:33 pm
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Post Re: Hard SF - "Predicting" the future?
As most here probably are aware, RAH was once credited by Asimov with the most acute 'prediction' in genre SF, up to that tme, by predicting the Cold War and the MAD balance of terror resulting from nuclear arms in Solution Unsatisfactory. This was, of course, a short-range( say, one generation or less) prediction. The long range ones are much easier to make( just assume that tech has caught up to whatever one wishes to predict) and only to be verified or laughed at long after the predictor is gone.
Although RAH got few of the details spot-on( not having the 'bomb',the weapon being its poisonous 'dust') the important thing was the situation.

In general, the 'prediction' of gadgets seems a bit less important to me, as it did to Asimov, than how people will react to their invention and use.


Mon Feb 01, 2010 12:08 pm
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