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- View topic - Hard SF - "Predicting" the future?
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Hard SF - "Predicting" the future? 
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PITA Bred
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Post Re: Hard SF - "Predicting" the future?
Heinlein is perhaps to be credited with popularizing the notion of a "cold" war and hair-trigger standoff over nuclear weapons, especially as early as "Solution Unsatisfactory" was written.

However, he was widely read in obscure fields, and if you read the detailed histories of the development of the bomb(s) and the physics that went into them, you'll find that the morality and consequences of each side having weapons of total destruction was kicked around in the late 1920s and early 1930s by the scientists themselves. It wasn't accidental that Oppenheimer had that quote on tap the day Trinity changed the game.

Welcome to the forum, incidentally. :)

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Mon Feb 01, 2010 12:40 pm
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Post Re: Hard SF - "Predicting" the future?
Hi!
As I Posted, 'in genre SF'.
Your thoughtful reply brings to mind the venue where one might certainly find a great many prophecies and predictions: 'gray literature', a deal of which is composed of unpublished dissertations and theses. John Brunner noted this source in a Note to one of his novels.


Mon Feb 01, 2010 1:27 pm
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Post Re: Hard SF - "Predicting" the future?

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Tue May 05, 2015 10:01 pm
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Post Re: Hard SF - "Predicting" the future?
That struck me too, Dan, when I also reread Time Enough for Love a couple of months ago.

I looked up the matter on wikipedia. Presumably the bare facts are correct on such a subject. It turns out there was a "morning after pill" available as of 1971 (DES), but the FDA never approved it (ever) or anything else until 1997. So the concept was in the air in the early 1970's.

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Wed May 06, 2015 10:00 am
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Post Re: Hard SF - "Predicting" the future?
Thanks for doing the research! DES rings only the vaguest of bells, and, of course, I have no recollection of when I became aware of it, but that would seem to remove this from the category of a prediction.

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Thu May 07, 2015 7:48 am
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Post Re: Hard SF - "Predicting" the future?

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Thu May 07, 2015 1:23 pm
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Post Re: Hard SF - "Predicting" the future?
Thanks again for the research. Sounds nasty!

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